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There are some huge betting races this weekend and although the Cesarewitch at Newmarket catches the eye, I am going to go nap in the big Coral Sprint at York at 3.15 with Raucous (nap).
Third in the Gimcrack over course and distance as a two-year-old, this now four-year-old has reportedly not been easy to keep right, but there have been glimpses of form which would suggest that he is going to be a major player off his reduced mark.
Rated as high as 106 last year after finishing third in the Stewards Cup at Goodwood behind Dancing Star, he has also performed well in another big field sprint handicap, the Wokingham at Royal Ascot, when he came home nicely to finish eighth of the 27 runners.
So it is easy to conclude a fast-run sprint on good ground when he can run through horses is his optimum set-up and he gets the nap nod over the likes of Perfect Pasture and Mr Lupton.
The Cesarewitch at Newmarket looks as tough as ever, but I have no intention of opposing the trial winner Who Dares Wins after he scooted up over course and distance last month.
Good ground is a huge plus for him and a 4lbs higher mark seems a rather lenient penalty from the handicapper here.
Oceane and the complete outsider Cape Caster should both outrun their odds, the latter is 100/1 with one bookmaker, but an even bigger danger could come in the form of ante-post favourite John Constable, much improved over hurdles through the winter and yet another of the entries sure to benefit from the recent dry spell.
It is a really brilliant card at Newmarket and I fully expect Cardsharp to fully outrun his double-figure odds in the Group One Dewhurst Stakes at 3.00.
He was beaten by less than three lengths by US Navy Flag in the Middle Park two weeks ago, but for some reason is four times the price which is ridiculous. The other feather in his cap is that the son of Lonhro is sure to relish this step up to seven furlongs.
Of course Expert Eye is a worthy favourite for this 2,000 Guineas shaper, but you should never be afraid of one horse in a race and if our boy hits the frame at 33/1 you will win more money than by backing the odds-on favourite if he were to win.
I can tell you that Ghaiyyath (nb) is strongly fancied by the Charlie Appleby yard to land the Autumn Stakes at 2.25, while Perfect Angel (4.50) is taken to bounce back to form for the Andrew Balding yard in the Boadicea Stakes.
Back at York, Law and Order may finally come good having been dropped to 10f in the opening handicap at 2.05, while Dashland could readily defy top weight in the stayers’ event at 5.00.
Finally, the national hunt season really kicks into action at Chepstow and Old Guard can defy top weight in the Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle at 4.00, while the progressive Rock the Kabash could be handily weighted off a mark of 142 in the staying chase at 4.45.
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