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A wounded Erdogan could be dangerous
Suffering heavy losses in the last two elections, Turkey's dictatorial leader may be tempted to launch a military adventure to win back support, writes CONN HALLINAN
Young women, targeted by Erdogan’s backward fundamentalist ideology, celebrate his loss in Istanbul

FOR the second time in a row, Turkish voters have rebuked president Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s handpicked candidate for the mayoralty of Istanbul, Turkey’s largest and wealthiest city. The secular Republican People’s Party (CHP) candidate, Ekrem Imamoglu, swamped Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) candidate Binali Yildirim in an election that many see as a report card on the president’s 17 years of power.

So what does the outcome of the election mean for the future of Turkey, and in particular, its powerful president? For starters, an internal political realignment, but also maybe a dangerous foreign policy adventure.

Erdogan and his party have been weakened politically and financially by the loss of Istanbul, even though the president did his best to steer clear of the campaign over the past several weeks. Since it was Erdogan that pressured the Supreme Election Council into annulling the results of the March 31 vote, whether he likes it or not he owns the outcome.

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