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Poor Expectations: why the Liberal Democrats are doomed
Vince Cable claims resisting Brexit could create a ‘Lib Dem moment.’ But in this Stats For Lefties column ELL SMITH assesses the possibility of a Lib Dem comeback — and the numbers are not kind
Liberal Democrats leader Sir Vince Cable arrives to deliver his keynote speech at the Liberal Democrats Autumn Conference in 2018

HOW times change. When Stephen Lloyd MP, who quit the Liberal Democrats last month in order to vote for May’s Brexit deal, first stood for Parliament in 2005, his party had 62 MPs.

Following his departure, they now have 11. After Lloyd was elected as an MP in 2010, his party took part in a British government for the first time since 1931, and within the previous decade had also governed as part of coalitions in Scotland and Wales. They were, in a very real sense, a major political force. Now they are struggling to have more seats than the DUP.

The party’s position on the fringes of politics is a consequence of the 2015 election result. In one devastating night, the Liberal Democrats’ participation in the coalition undid over 45 years of electoral progress.

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